Competitive PUBG Mobile analytics

Read the zone. Budget the fight.

A live zone simulator, the probability chart behind circle reads, the arithmetic of a 1v4, and a playbook for the 2026 tournament pool — built on a published candidate algorithm and honest about what hasn't been measured.

always safe current zone two extreme next zones next centre lands in here
Why the centre is free when the zone shrinks gently. The next zone (radius r′) must fit inside the current one (radius r), so its centre lands somewhere in the dashed ring, radius r − r′. Push it to opposite edges and both extremes still cover the shaded core, radius 2r′ − r. Drawn at a shrink ratio of 0.62; below 0.5 the core disappears.

Three findings

0.5

Above this shrink ratio, the centre is free

A disc of radius 2r′ − r around the current centre cannot be caught outside the next zone. It is geometry, not a forecast, and it needs no match data — only the radius schedule.

See it on the chart
±0.79

Late circles can't be read from broadcast video

Circle-fitting error, carried through the key statistic, grows from ±0.012 at phase 1 to ±0.79 at phase 8, on a scale of 0 to 1. Phases 1–4 hold the usable signal.

Read the precision analysis
4 of 18

One magazine rarely covers a 1v4

Of eighteen accuracy-and-armour cases, four fit in an extended M416 magazine — none of them against Level 3 armour, which is what the survivors wear when clutches happen.

Run the numbers

The tools

Get the app

Windows

Every tool on this site as a desktop program that works offline. Windows 10 and 11, 64-bit.

Android

The same site packaged as an app that works offline. Android 7 or newer; installed from the APK file, not Google Play.

Source

The website, the Python research toolkit, the workbook and both apps, with every release.

Neither app carries a paid code-signing certificate. Windows SmartScreen may say it doesn't recognise the installer: choose More info → Run anyway. Android asks you to allow installs from your browser the first time.

What this is, and isn't

A candidate, tested — not a leak

The zone models come from a published Tencent patent describing a centre-selection routine. A patent describes an embodiment, not shipped code, and no tournament matches have been annotated yet.

Community numbers, graded

PUBG Mobile publishes no weapon statistics. Every figure here is a private-lobby estimate, the sources disagree, and each row says how much to trust it.

Built to take your measurements

Everything computes from inputs you can replace with your own timings and tests. Quote the method, not the numbers — then measure and re-run.

Download the combat workbook